Nekisimusi yeAustralia indasitiri yeAviation inofanira kunge iine 60% kumashure

Nekisimusi yeAustralia indasitiri yeAviation inofanira kunge iine 60% kumashure
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Avatar yeJuergen T Steinmetz

Zvichienderana nemubatanidzwa wekuongorora zvirevo zvehurumende, fungidziro dzendege, uye mapurojekiti ari pasi pekuda kudzoreredza zvishoma nezvishoma, nechikamu kudzoreredzwa kwemhepo yemumba muAustralia kuburikidza nekusara kwa2020. Kusvika 37% yehuwandu hwegore rapfuura kutanga kwaChikunguru, Mutungamiriri Scott Morrison yakafanofananidzira kudzoka kune intra-state kufamba pasi pehurongwa hweFederal Government hwezvikamu zvitatu zvekurerutsa zvirambidzo zvekoronavirus. Hurongwa uhu, hwakagadzirirwa kumutsiridza hupfumi hwenyika, hunosiya nguva yekumisikidzwazve kwekufamba kuenda kumatunhu. CAPA inoronga kukwanisa kwepamba kusvika 49% yemazinga a2019 nezororo rechikoro raGumiguru uye 60% pakati paZvita 2020.

APA's nyowani 'Airline Capacity Model' yakagadziridzwa kuti ipe indasitiri yendege uye yekufambisa ine gwara rakasimba kune ramangwana kugona kwemhepo mukana wakaiswa mu:

  • Iyo chaiyo yekutanga dhata, yakatorwa kubva kuOAG masheji uye data yekumisikidza ndege muCAPA Fleet database;
  • Sarudzo uye zviziviso neMutungamiriri weHurumende neVakuru veHurumende pamusoro pezvirambidzo zvekufamba uye zviziviso zvemuganhu;
  • Ongororo neCAPA, yakavakirwa pamishumo chaiyo-nguva uye yakasarudzika yemazuva ese nhau sisitimu inounganidza anopfuura mazana matatu nyaya zuva rega rega:
    • Zvirongwa zvenzira dzendege uye mitengo;
    • Kuda kweveruzhinji uye kuda kubhururuka;
    • Kuunzwa kwemaitiro akajairwa pamamiriro ehutsanana mundege uye panhandare dzendege;
    • 'Kukura-kurudyi' kwendege kuti ienderane nezvinodiwa.
  • Iwo mafungidziro ekugona kwendege anovandudzwa munguva chaiyo, sezvo zviitiko zvikuru zvitsva zvinoitika.

Kudzoka-kunotungamirwa nekudzoka mumwedzi mitatu iri kuuya sezvo vendege vanoyedza vafambi kuti vadzokere kumhepo nemitengo yakaderera ichisimbisa hutano hwakawedzerwa nekuchengetedza. Sezvo kudiwa kunovaka patsva, kupa (kugona uye nzira network) inogadziriswa kuti iwedzere goho uye musika unoramba uchipora. CAPA ichaongorora indasitiri inogadziridza uye inogara ichivandudza Model.

 Sachigaro Emeritus, Peter Harbison akati:

"Australia ndiyo imwe yenyika dzakasarudzika pasi rose kudzvanyirira hutachiona hweCCIDID-19. Kana izvi zvikaramba zvichienderera uye tikadzivirira kubuda kwechipiri, musika wemumhepo weAustralia waigona kuona zvimwe zviratidzo zvehupenyu pakati pegore uye kuvandudzwa kwakasimba neKisimusi. Nekudaro, isu hatitarisire kuona 2019 mazinga ekubhururuka kwepamba achisvika zvakare gore rino. International icharohwa zvakanyanya uye zvinogona kutora makore akawanda kuti apore. Nekudaro, izvi zvichabatsira musika wepamusha - ungangombundikira mashandiro eTrans Tasman ”.

Misika yepasi rose haigone kupora uye iyo CAPA Airline Capacity Model inoona mhepo yepasi rose (nhamba dzezvigaro) zvichiri kudzika ne92% gore negore muna Chikunguru, -86% muna Gumiguru, uye -85% muna Zvita. Iyo inogona kuitika yeTrans Tasman 'bubble' neNew Zealand yakaiswa muCAPA Model kubva Nyamavhuvhu, paine dzimwe Pacific Islands zvinongedzo munguva yezororo reKisimusi/Gore Idzva.

Iyo modhi inoshandisa inotevera nhanho yemhepo simba rekutanga mamiriro. Iyo inodyidzana, yakanakisa-yakavakirwa modhi inobvumira vashandisi kuti vatarise fungidziro dzakatenderedza kutangisazve kwekufamba mumisika yemumba (yenyika-yakavakirwa) uye yepasirese, kuvaka iyo yakazara kugona mufananidzo.

Capacity resumption phaseing fungidziro

Phase zita Kugona (% ye 'Zvakajairwa' = 2019) Tsanangudzo/Mafungiro
1 Zero/Grounded 0% Kurambidzwa kufamba kunokonzeresa kudzikiswa kwezvikepe zvese zvendege
2 marangwanda 5% Ndege dziri kupa hwaro hwe 'skeletal' network kungave nekuzvidira kwayo kana pasi peimwe nzira yehurumende/yehurumende rubatsiro, semuenzaniso:

  • Kufamba kwechimbichimbi
  • Kudzoserwa kunyika dzedzimwe nyika
3 Commerce Resumption A - 'Acutely Restricted' 25% Ndege dziri kutangazve 'Acutely Restricted' kutengeserana mashandiro, semuenzaniso kutarisira:

  • Mission-yakakosha bhizinesi kufamba
  • Acute VFR
4 Commerce Resumption B - 'Basic' 50% Ndege dziri kushanda 'Basic' kutengeserana mashandiro, semuenzaniso kutarisira:

  • Iko kuvakwa kweBusiness Travel
  • Yakakurudzirwa VFR/Mudzidzi kufamba
  • Yakanyanya kukurudzirwa Leisure kufamba
5 Commerce Resumption C - 'Kumanikidzwa' 75% Ndege dziri kushanda 'Yakamanikidzwa' kutengeserana mashandiro, semuenzaniso kugovera:

  • Kuwedzera Bhizinesi kufamba
  • Yakawedzerwa VFR/Mudzidzi kufamba
  • Inokurudzirwa Leisure kufamba
6 Commerce Resumption D - 'Standard' 100% Ndege dziri kushanda 'Standard' kana zvakajairwa kutengeserana mashandiro, semuenzaniso kugovera zvakajairwa:

  • Kufamba kweBusiness nguva dzose
  • VFR/Kufamba kwemudzidzi
  • Kutandara kufamba

 

Nezvomunyori

Avatar yeJuergen T Steinmetz

Juergen T Steinmetz

Juergen Thomas Steinmetz akaramba achishanda muindasitiri yekufambisa uye yekushanya kubva achiri mudiki kuGerman (1977).
Iye akatanga eTurboNews muna 1999 sebhuku rekutanga repamhepo pamhepo yepasirese yekushanya indasitiri yekushanya.

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