Kufamba kwebhizinesi kushandisa kudzoreredza kuzere kunotarisirwa ne2026

Indasitiri yepasirese yekufambisa bhizinesi inoenderera mberi ichienda kudzoreredza kuzere kusvika muna 2019 pre-denda yekushandisa mazinga eUS $ 1.4 tiririyoni, asi kupora kwarova dzimwe mhepo. Sezvinongoita akawanda eCCID-anoenderana nemamiriro ekudzoreredza akavandudza, mazhinji macroeconomic mamiriro akadzikira nekukurumidza mukutanga kwa2022.

Zviitiko izvi zvitsva zviri kukanganisa nguva, mafambiro uye kukurumidza kwekufamba kwebhizinesi kudzoreredza, pasi rose uye nedunhu, zvichisundira fungidziro yekupora kuzere muna 2026 pachinzvimbo cha2024 sezvakafanotaurwa.

Uku ndiko kutsvaga kwepakati kubva kuchangoburwa 2022 GBTA Bhizinesi Rekufamba Indekisi Yekutarisa - Yegore Global Report uye Forecast - yegore negore inopedza kudzidza yemashandisirwo ekufambisa kwebhizinesi uye kukura kunobata nyika makumi manomwe nenhatu nemaindasitiri makumi mana nemana.

Ads: Iyo metaverse yebhizinesi - tora timu yako mune metaverse

Iyo 2022 BTI inoratidzawo maonero kubva kuongororo ichangoburwa yevakuru vezvemari yepasirese nevafambi vebhizinesi. Pamusoro pezvo, inotsvaga zvinhu zvitsva uye zvinoshandura mukufamba kwebhizinesi repasirese munzvimbo dzekusimbaradzika, masimba evashandi (kusanganisira basa riri kure uye kufamba kwakasanganiswa kana "bleisure"), uye kutorwa kwehunyanzvi.

Zviri pachena kubva kune yazvino BTI Outlook (muUS madhora): 

• Mari yese yekushandisa mukufamba kwebhizinesi repasi rose yakasvika mabhiriyoni mazana matanhatu nemakumi mapfumbamwe nenomwe emadhora muna 697, 2021% pamusoro penguva yedenda yakaderera muna 5.5. Denda recovid2020. Indasitiri iyi yakawana madhora mabhiriyoni makumi matatu nematanhatu emadhora mazana manomwe nemakumi manomwe akarasika muna 2020.

• Kudzoreredza kwakapfupikiswa neiyo Omicron musiyano uye spike mune dzepasi rose COVID kesi mukupera kwa2021 uye kutanga kwa2022. Sezvo nhamba dzenyaya dzakatanga kudzoka, kufamba kwebhizinesi kwakawedzera. Mashandisiro ekufamba kwebhizinesi repasi rose muna 2022 anotarisirwa kusimudzira 34% pamusoro pe2021 mazinga kusvika kumadhora mazana mapfumbamwe nemakumi mapfumbamwe nematatu emadhora, kudzoreredza kusvika pamakumi matanhatu neshanu muzana emazinga epre-denda.

• Kupora muna 2022 kwaitsamira paari uye kwainyanya kufambiswa nekuvandudzwa kwezvinhu zvina zvekudzoreredza rwendo rwebhizinesi repasirese - kuedza kwekudzivirira kwepasi rose, mitemo yekufambisa yenyika, manzwiro evafambi vebhizinesi, uye mutemo wekutungamira kwekufamba - uko mamiriro akavandudza zvakanyanya mumakore matanhatu apfuura. mwedzi.

• Kuderera kwemamiriro ehupfumi uye kuchinja kwemaitiro enyika muna 2022, zvisinei, kwadzikira pasi rose. Nekudaro, kufamba kwebhizinesi repasirese kunoda kusvika pre-denda mazinga muna 2025, kusvika $1.39 trillion.

• Kushandiswa kwemari pasi rose hakutarisirwe kuti kudzorere zvizere ku $1.4 trillion dollar mark kusvika pakati pa2026, apo parikutarisirwa kusvika pamadhora 1.47 trillion. Izvi zvinowedzera inofungidzirwa mwedzi gumi nemisere kudzoreredza kweindasitiri pane zvakafanotaurwa mune yapfuura GBTA Bhizinesi Rekufamba Index yakaburitswa munaNovember 18.

• Iyo 2022 BTI inowana zvipingamupinyi zvikuru zvekuwedzera kukurumidza kupora mukufamba kwebhizinesi repasirese kuri kuramba kukwira kwemitengo, mitengo yakakwira yemagetsi, matambudziko akanyanya ekugovera uye kushomeka kwevashandi, kudzikira kwakanyanya kwehupfumi uye kuvharika muChina, uye kukanganisa kukuru kwedunhu nekuda kwehondo muUkraine. pamwe chete nezviri kuitika zvekusimudzira kufunga. 

Iyo Divergent Kudzoreredza muGlobal Bhizinesi Kufamba Inoenderera

Muzvose, pasi rose kufamba bhizinesi kushandisa mari inotarisirwa kuwana 33.8% muna 2022, zvisinei, misiyano inotarisirwa pamisika yepasirose yepamusoro yekufambisa bhizinesi. Nguva uye kumhanya kwekupora kucharamba kuchisiyana zvakanyanya kubva kune imwe dunhu renyika kuenda kune rinotevera, sezvakaratidzwa muna 2021.

• North America yakatungamira kupora muna 2021 - ichitungamirwa zvakanyanya nekudzoka nekukurumidza kufamba mudzimba. Western Europe ndiyo yaive dunhu rimwe chete rekupupurira kuderera kwemari gore rapfuura sezvo COVID-19 yakakanganisa musika wayo wepamba uye wedunhu bhizinesi rekufamba. Matunhu ese ari maviri anotarisirwa kuona kudzoreredzwa kwakanyanya nekukura kwegore negore kuwedzera kwe23.4% (kusvika pamadhora mazana matatu nemakumi matanhatu nenomwe emadhora) uye 363.7% (kusvika pamadhora mazana matatu nemakumi matatu nenomwe emadhora), zvichiteerana panosvika 16.9.

• Mari yekufambisa bhizinesi muLatin America yakakura zvine mwero muna 2021 sezvo basa rekudzivirira rakatanga zvishoma nezvishoma. Kunyangwe panogona kunge paine zvinonetsa mudunhu rino mumakore mashoma anotevera, 55% kukura kwekushandisa muLatin America kwakafanorongerwa gore rino sezvo rwendo rwebhizinesi ruchidzokera ku83% yehuwandu hwepre-denda.

• Asia Pacific yakabatsira kutungamira indasitiri maererano nekudzoreredza kwekushandisa muna 2021- kunyanya kuChina. Izvi zvakadzokororwa muna 2022, semutemo weChina weZero-Covid zvakakonzera kuvharika kwakakura uye dzimwe nyika mudunhu dzakangovhurwa zvishoma nezvishoma. Muna 2022, kuwedzera kwakasimba kwe16.5% (kana $407.1 bhiriyoni) mukushandisa mari inotarisirwa muAPAC (yakadzoserwa neChina pa5.6%, kana $286.9 bhiriyoni), dunhu richidzokera ku66% yepre-denda level panopera. 2022.

Bhizinesi Kufamba uye Vatariri veMari Vanosimbisa Matambudziko uye Mikana

Muna Chikunguru 2022, GBTA yakaongorora vanopfuura mazana mana vanogaro famba bhizinesi uye vangangoita gumi nevaviri vatungamiriri vekufambisa bhajeti vanoita sarudzo munzvimbo ina dzepasirese. Mafungiro akazara akanaka, asi zvakare anosimbisa kushushikana kweCCIDID-400 kuri kutora chigaro kumashure kune zvazvino macroeconomic uye geopolitical nyaya.

• 85% yevafambi vebhizinesi vakaongororwa vakati ivo vanofanirwa chaizvo kufamba kuti vazadzise zvinangwa zvebhizinesi ravo. Vanopfuura vatatu muzvina vakati vanotarisira kufambira basa zvakanyanya kana zvakanyanya muna 2023 pane zvavakaita muna 2022. 

• 84% yevashandi vezvemari vepasi rose vakaratidza chivimbo chekuti mari yavo yekufambisa yaizowedzera kana kuwedzera zvakanyanya muna 2023 zvichienzaniswa ne2022.

• 73% yevafambi vebhizinesi uye makumi matatu nemasere kubva makumi mana nevana vakuru vezvemari pasi rose vanobvumirana nekukwira kwemitengo / kukwira kwemitengo kuchakanganisa huwandu hwekufamba.

• 69% yevafambi vebhizinesi uye makumi matatu nenhatu kubva makumi mana nevane vatariri vezvemari vepasirese vane hanya nekudzikira kunogona kukanganisa kufamba.

• 68% yevafambi vebhizinesi uye makumi matatu nenhanhatu kubva makumi mana nevane vatariri vezvemari vanotarisira kuti huwandu hwehutachiona hweCovid uye zvakasiyana siyana zvine chekuita nekufamba kwavo.