Maonero akanaka eAfrica: Mazuva ekupedzisira e2018 ekugamuchira vaeni

Imwe kambani inotambira vaenzi vemuAfrica yakapfupikisa vatambi vashanu vepamusoro mumaguta gumi nematatu emuAfrica kwehafu yekutanga ya13 sezvakaratidzwa neSTR Global, kambani inopa mahotera data bhenji, analytics uye ruzivo rwemusika.

Kukura kwekugara

Lagos neAccra vakaramba vachitungamira maguta gumi nematatu emuAfrica akaongororwa maererano nekukura kwekugara. Pano, kudzoreredza kwehupfumi uye kuwedzera kwemutengo wemafuta kuri kukanganisa mazinga makuru ekuda kwebhizinesi uye zvinokanganisa kukura. Huwandu hwekugara muLagos neAccra hwapfuura 13% ne50% zvichiteerana.

Gaborone yaratidza shanduko huru kubva mukupera kwa2017, apo guta rakaratidza kudzikira kwezvikamu zvitanhatu kubva muzana muhuwandu hwekugara kwevanhu. Pano, mamiriro ehupfumi akavandudzwa akaona huwandu hwekugara huri kukura ne6% kwemwedzi mitanhatu yekutanga yegore, nepo Addis Ababa yakatevera maitiro akafanana ne4.3% yeavhareji yekukura.

Umhlanga wekuSouth Africa wakawanawo huwandu hwevanhu vari pakati nepakati nechikamu che1.1% zvisinei nemakamuri mazana maviri akapinda mumusika muna 200/2017.

Kugara kuderera

MuNamibia, Windhoek yakasangana nekuderera kwakanyanya kweavhareji yekugara kwemwedzi mitanhatu yekutanga ya2018. Kuderera kwehupfumi muna 2017 uye kufungidzira kwakaderera kwe0.8% kwe2018 kunoramba kuchirema kudiwa kwehotera.

Kugara kwevanhu muLusaka kwaramba kuchidzikira kwemwedzi mitanhatu yekutanga yegore zvisinei nekudzikira kwemakamuri nekuda kwekugadziridzwa kwebapiro pahotera yeIntercontinental.

MuSouth Africa, kusagadzikana kwehupfumi nezvematongerwo enyika munguva pfupi yapfuura uye huwandu hwehutsotsi huri kukanganisa vagari mumaguta makuru. Izvi zviri kuwedzerwa nekuwanikwa kutsva, neCape Town ndiyo inonyanya kukanganiswa nemakamuri 1000+ akapinda mumusika muna 2017 akasanganiswa nekudzikiswa kwekuda kunokonzerwa nedambudziko remvura reGuta. Pretoria yakaona kuwedzera kwemakamuri mazana mana muhafu yekutanga yegore, izvo, mukubatana nehupfumi hwechibvumirano, zvakakonzerawo kukura kwekugara zvichidzika.

Avhareji yemazuva ese (USD) - Kukura

Pamwe chete nekukura kwevagari vemuGaborone (4.3%), ADR yakawedzerawo nechikamu che17.2% pamadhora ekuAmerica. Kukura uku kunoratidzika kunge kwakafambiswa zvakanyanya nemusika wemakambani, uyo uri kuona kupora sezvo hupfumi huchikwira kumusoro.

MuSouth Africa, kukura muPretoria, Durban neCape Town (11.1%, 6.5 % ne7.3%) kune chekuita nekukoshesa kwerandi. Zvakadaro, mumatunhu ADR muCape Town yakadzikira ne -1.3% ukuwo Durban nePretoria dzakakura ne0.2 ne4.4% zvakateerana. Hukama hwakasimba pakati peNamibian Dollar neRand zvinoreva kuti kuwedzera kweWindhoek muADR (mumari yemuno) ne1.2% kwainyanya kuenderana nemari.

Avhareji Daily rates (USD) - Decline

MuAddis Ababa neLagos, avhareji yemitengo yezuva nezuva (ye -10.7% uye -7.6% muUS Dollar mazwi zvichiteerana) yakakanganiswa zvakanyanya nekushanduka kwemari. Munzvimbo dzemuno ADR yakawedzera mumaguta aya ne7.5% ne5.3% zvichiteerana.

Kuwedzera kwekupa muNairobi neAccra kwakapesvedzera ADR kudzika mune ese maUSD uye mazwi emari yemuno. Kunyanya, Nairobi yakaona kukura muMakamuri Anowanikwa ne10.8% yeYTD Chikumi 2018, zvichikonzera kudzvanywa kwechiyero muUSD uye mazwi emari yemuno (-8.5% muKES). Nepo STR isingarekodha kuwedzera kwekupa muAccra YTD Chikumi 2018, kuvhurwa kwehotera yeMarriott muna Kubvumbi 2018 kuchave kwakamanikidza mitengo yemusika, iyo yakaderedzwa ne1.9% mumari yemuno. Kudiwa kwechibvumirano muDar es Salaam, zvakanyanya nekuda kwekusagadzikana kwezvematongerwo enyika nehupfumi, kuri kuitawo mitengo kudzika (-2.8% TZS).

Makamuri akatengeswa uye Makamuri aripo - Kukura

Kudzoreredza kwehupfumi muNigeria kunoramba kuchifambisa kudiwa kwehotera nemakamuri anotengeswa muLagos achiwedzera ne10.2%.

Nairobi yakaonawo mazinga akakwira ekudiwa nekuwedzera kwe10.1% mumakamuri akatengeswa achiratidza kuenderera mberi kwemusika kupora. Kukura kwakaperekedzwa nekuwedzera kwe10.8% mumakamuri aripo nekuvhurwa kweHilton Garden Inn Jomo Kenyatta neMovenpick Hotel neResidence pakati pezvimwe.

Kudiwa kwemafuta muAccra kuri kuramba kuchikura, zvichikonzerwa nebazi remafuta, ukuwo Umhlanga neGaborone dzakaratidzawo kudiwa kwakanaka pamwe nekukura.

Makamuri akatengeswa uye Makamuri aripo - Decline

Mamiriro ezvehupfumi muNamibia neSouth Africa ari kuomesera mafambisirwo ari kuitwa mahotera. Pa -13%, Windhoek yakasangana nekudzikira kukuru kwekudiwa.

Pasinei nekudzikira kwemakamuri, sezvakamboratidzwa, kudiwa muLusaka kwakaderedzwawo pakati pemamiriro ezvinhu asina chokwadi ezvematongerwo enyika nehupfumi.

Kukanganisa kwedambudziko remvura uye mamiriro ehupfumi muSouth Africa kwakakonzera kudzikiswa kwemakamuri anotengeswa muCape Town node (- 6.1%). Kudiwa muPretoria (-3.4%) neDurban (-2.2%) kunoratidzika kunge kwakaderera kubva mukusagadzikana kwezvematongerwo enyika nehupfumi.

Future supply

Pakave neshanduko shoma maererano nekupihwa kutsva kwakarongwa mumisika yakakosha yekugamuchira vaenzi kubva pakupera kwegore 2017 ongororo yakaitwa neHTI Consulting.

Nairobi, Lagos, Addis Ababa neAccra inoramba iri misika yepamusoro maererano nekutengesa kutsva kwakarongwa uye uku kuenderera mberi kwekukura kwekugovera kunofanirwa kuisa kumanikidza kune vanokwikwidza mumusika. Zvisineyi, zvichibva paruzivo rwemuAfrica nekufamba kwemakore, chikamu chega chega chega chega chega chega chega chinonyatso onekwa sezvakarongwa, nekunonoka kweprojekiti uye kusiiwa kwepurojekiti kuri kuwanda.

Asi zvakadaro zvinokurudzira kuziva kuti Nairobi, Lagos neAccra iri kusangana nekukura kwakanyanya maererano nemakamuri anotengeswa izvo zvinogadzira mukana wekuti kutsva kukwidzwe nekukasira. Semuenzaniso kukura mumakamuri anotengeswa muNairobi YTD June 2018 (10.1%) kwaingove kushomeka kwekukura kwekupa pa10.8%. Lagos inotarisirwawo kuenderera mberi nekukura mumakamuri anotengeswa sezvo musika uchidzoka kubva kumamiriro ekuderera ayo anofanirwa kubatsira mukutorwa kwezvinhu zvitsva.

Nzvimbo yeUmhlanga inotarisirwa kuwedzera makamuri anosvika mazana mana munguva pfupi. Kunyange hazvo kukura kuri kuda kusimba munzvimbo iyi, kudzikira kwehupfumi pamwe nesarudzo dzemuSouth Africa dziri kutarisirwa kukanganisa kudiwa kwemahotera munyika yose. Kuwanikwa kutsva kunogona kuremedza kuita kwemusika kunotungamira sarudzo muna 400.

• Kukura Kwakasimba 

Lagos

• Lagos inoramba iri mukwikwidzi akasimba nekugara uye kukura kwekamuri husiku huchibva pahwaro huri kuwedzera
• Nepo ADR ichiri kuderedzwa muUSD mazwi, kukura kweADR mumatemu emari yemuno kwakaitika;
• Maonero ehupfumi ari kuramba achiwedzera kunaka maererano nekukwira kwemutengo wemafuta izvo zvichave nemhedzisiro yekushanda kwemahotera.

Mukana Mukurusa 

Accra

• Accra inoramba iri mukana wakasimba wekudyara zvichipihwa simba rayo rehupfumi uye shanduko yakasimba inowanikwa mumusika munguva pfupi.
• Hutsva hutsva huri kutorwa nekukurumidza sezvo kudiwa kuri kuramba kuchiwedzera gore negore
• Mapurojekiti munzvimbo dzakasimba munzvimbo dzakakosha ari kutarisa kuunza kudzoka kwakanaka
• Ramba Wakarinda

Umhlanga

• Kugara kwakasimba uye kukura kwekuda
• Kuwanikwa kweramangwana kunogona kudzikisira mamiriro emusika asi kunogona kutorwa nekukurumidza mushure mesarudzo

Cape Town

• Mushure memvura zhinji ichangobva kunaya uye kuwanda kwemadhamu pamusoro pe70%, Cape Town inotarisirwa kubatsirikana kubva mukukwira kwakanyanya kwezvinodiwa mumwaka unotevera.
• Kupera kwegore 2018 inotarisirwa kuve pazasi 2017 -ine kuita kukuru kwekupera kwegore 2019 inotarisirwa.

Mapopoma eVhitori

• Kunyangwe isina kumiririrwa zvizere neSTR, tsvakiridzo yakaitwa neHTI Consulting muVictoria Falls inonongedza kusimbaradza kwemusika.
• Kugara, ADR nemakamuri anotengeswa metrics ari munzira yakanaka nevashandisi vazhinji vari kutsvaga mikana yebudiriro kuitira kuti vawane mari pakuchinja kwemusika.