DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (eTN) - Nyanzvi dziri kupinda muArabian Hotel Investment Musangano, wakaitwa kubva Chivabvu 3 kusvika 4 paMadinat Jumeirah kuDubai, vanotenda kuti kudzikira kwepasirese hakuzogara uye mwero wekukwira kwemitengo kutenderera pasirese uchadzikira, uye kuti India neChina dzichaderedza migumisiro yekuparara kwehupfumi hwenyika.
Zvisinei nekunetseka kuri kuwedzera pamusoro pekudonha kwehupfumi, inflation uye kukwira kwemitengo yemafuta, misika yakaita seIndia neChina icharamba yakasimba. Zvirokwazvo, ivo vachatungamira, nyanzvi dzinopa zano.
Maonero ekuenderera mberi kwehupfumi hwepasi rose akaiswa nemukuru wezvehupfumi uye sachigaro weOxus Investments, Surjit Bhalla. Vati pane zviratidzo zvese zvekuti zvisinei nekunetsa kwedzimba nemari muAmerica, pane mukana wakakwana wekunzvenga kuderera kwehupfumi. Maererano naye, izvi zvingave zvichikonzerwa nekukanganiswa kwehuwandu hwekukura muIndia, pamwe neChina.
China neIndia dzakasandura nekuvandudza misika muAsia, dzichikura zvikamu zvishanu kusvika gumi kubva muzana pagore pamunhu. Kukurumidza kusimukira kusiri kwemutsara kwevepakati kwakashandura nyika mbiri dzine 50 kusvika 60 muzana yevanhu mumakore ekuma80s vaive varombo chose, vachirarama ne$1 pazuva pasi pedanho rekurarama. Gare gare, mihoro yezuva nezuva yakakwira zvishoma nezvishoma kubva pamadhora maviri pazuva kuenda pamadhora mana kusvika pamadhora mashanu mumakore gumi.
Nhasi, kirasi yepakati yeIndia iri pachigaro chemutyairi. “Nyika haisati yazviona nekuti mwero wepasuru wekushandisa wainonoka. Chakanga chisiri chinhu vatengesi pasi rese vainetsekana apo mitengo yenyika yaive madhora masere pazuva kune vasiri varombo munyika dzekumadokero. Nhasi, mauto epakati eIndia anozvikudza nekugadzira hupfumi hwepamusoro hwakatiza urombo. Kunyangwe zvisingakanganise mitemo yehurumende, zvinoda kushanda pamwe chete izvo zvinoita kuti hurumende iite maererano nezvido zvevanhu vepakati,” akadaro Bhalla.
India neChina vepakati kirasi nhasi ndivo vasiri varombo zvachose munyika dzakabudirira, kubva muurombo hwakakwana hwePPP $1.08 (1993) zvichienzaniswa nevarombo zvachose, vakabudirira vehupfumi' PPP $7.77. Mutsetse wepakati wekirasi waive ungangoita PPP $3700 per capita pagore mu2007 mutengo mazinga.
Nekuda kwekuzvifarira, iyi strata yehupfumi inotenda mumusika kunaka senzira chete yekubudirira. "Veboka repakati vanotenda kodzero dzepfuma, kutengeserana kwemahara, mitemo yemutambo uye kurwisa huwori," akawedzera Bhalla.
Muna 2008, 14.2 muzana yevagari veIndia vane mamiriyoni 400 ndevepakati. Investment kuGDP yakakwira zvakanyanya ne2000 percent, zvichiratidza kuti shanduko mumakore mashanu apfuura yakawedzera mari nezvikamu zvipfumbamwe nechidimbu kubva muzana, kuchengetedza kwakakwira nezvikamu gumi nezviviri kubva muzana uye kukura kwakakwira nezvikamu makumi maviri nenomwe kubva muzana, Bhalla akadaro.
Nhasi vepakati kirasi ndiyo hombe inodiwa-jenareta yezvivakwa zvine kudiwa kwakanyanya kwemagetsi, migwagwa, airport, mvura yakachena, hutsanana, pamwe nemagariro, dzidzo uye hutano. Zvivakwa muIndia neChina zvakakura zvakanyanya, zvisinei, China haina kubata nehukuru hwezvivakwa zvakaita seIndia.
Makore ekuma1950 asati asvika, nyika yeIndia neChina yakaderera kusvika pazvikamu zvisere kubva muzana. Muma8s, makore anopfuura makumi mashanu gare gare, India neChina dzaive dzichigadzira 80 muzana yepasi rose mukugadzirwa kwezvivakwa, India ichive yakasimukira kupfuura China. Yakapfuurawo kukura kwezvivakwa zveChina mumakore apfuura nemakore matatu kusvika mashanu ekuvaka maindasitiri.
IUS yakaverengera makumi maviri neshanu muzana ekukura kweGDP yepasirese, ukuwo India neChina pamwe chete dzakaita zvikamu zvipfumbamwe kubva muzana. "Nhasi, US yadzikira kusvika pamakumi maviri muzana asi hupfumi hweIndia neChina hwawedzera zvakapetwa kaviri uye pari zvino pamwe chete vanopa zvikamu makumi maviri kubva muzana," Bhalla akadaro achiwedzera, "Izvi zvinotipa zano rekuti sei mamiriro ezvinhu asiri kuzokonzera kudzikira kwepasirese. kana kuora mwoyo.”
Akataurawo nezvehuori muIndia; zvisineyi huori, sezvingave zvakaita misika yemisika (yakadai seVietnam, Russia neChina), yeIndia haisisiri huwori husingashandi, asi kuti hunoshanda. Kutanga muna 2010, India ichave yakapfuura kukura kwakanaka kwehupfumi hwemisika yese ichiri kusimukira 'GDP kusanganisira yeChina.
Hurumende dzemubatanidzwa dzakagara dziripo muIndia kubvira 1989. Congress nevatungamiriri veBJP vane mavhoti ari pasi pe50 percent. Nekudyidzana kwepasi rose, hurumende haichagona kukuvadza, akadaro Bhalla.
Kusiya vakuru vehurumende vasina simba pamwe ndiyo 'yakaderera' yekukura kweboka repakati uye zvivakwa muIndia (9-10 muzana pagore mukukura kwemaindasitiri, zvichienzaniswa neChina 6-8 muzana). Kana vezvematongerwo enyika vakanganisa, ichiri bhizinesi semazuva ese nemhedzisiro iri pedyo ne zero nekuti ivo vadzikira pesvedzero mukukonzera kukanganisa. Izvi zvinoita kuti ive isingaite kuti India irasikirwe nemukana wekukwikwidza kana kuwana mibairo chaiyo inokwira zvakanyanya.
Zvisinei, akatizve hapana kuderera kwehuwori. “Tine huori husina basa. Tine ane hunyanzvi,” akadaro Bhalla achiti vanhu vake vanofanira kukurumidza kugadzirisa kana vakakanganisa vachitevedza gwara rebudiriro - sezvo nyika ichida kuenderera mberi nekusimudzira fundo, kuchengetedza dzidzo pahwaro hwepamusoro kuitira kuti pave nemazano ekubudirira kwebhizimusi. uye kururamisira kuuya mumusika wakasimba.
India, akadaro, "iri munzvimbo inotapira yekukura inogona kugara mamwe makore gumi nemaviri."
ZVOKUBVA MUNYAYA INO:
- Experts who attending the Arabian Hotel Investment Conference, held from May 3 to 4 at the Madinat Jumeirah in Dubai, believe the global slowdown won't last and the synchronized inflation rate around the world will subside, and that India and China will neutralize the effects of the meltdown in the world's economy.
- “Today, the US has dropped to 20 percent but India and China economies have more than doubled and now together also contribute some 20 percent,” Bhalla said adding, “This gives us a hint as to why current circumstances will not result in global recession or depression.
- The rapid non-linear development of the middle class has changed both nations whose 50 to 60 percent population in the ‘80s were absolutely poor, living on $1 per day below subsistence level.
