Geneva - Sangano reInternational Air Transport Association (IATA) rakadzikisa hafu yekurasikirwa kwayo kweindasitiri muna 2010 sezvo boka rakati kudzoreredza kwakanyanya kuri kudiwa kuri kuwedzera mibairo yekupera kwegore mumwedzi yekutanga yegore rino, iine hunyanzvi hwekushandura. mune kumwe kuvandudzwa kwegoho uye mihoro yakasimba.
Sangano iri rakadonhedza kurasikirwa kwayaifungidzira kuindasitiri yezvekufambiswa kwemhepo kusvika pamadhora bhiriyoni maviri nemazana masere egore rino, kubva pakurasikirwa kwemabhiriyoni mashanu nemazana matanhatu emadhora kwakafanotaurwa neboka muna Zvita 2.8. IATA yakadzikisawo fungidziro yekurasikirwa kwayo muna 5.6 kusvika kumadhora mabhiriyoni mapfumbamwe nemazana mana kubva payakanga yambofanotaurwa yakarasikirwa nemabhiriyoni gumi nerimwe. . Mari yegore rino inotarisirwa kuuya inosvika mabhiriyoni mazana mashanu nemakumi maviri nemaviri emadhora kumaindasitiri ese.
Kuvandudzwa kunofambiswa nekuvandudzwa kwehupfumi mumisika ichiri kusimukira yeAsia-Pacific neLatin America, uko vatakuri vakatumira mari dzepasi rose dzinodiwa ne6.5 muzana uye 11.0 muzana zvakateerana muna Ndira. Maodzanyemba kweAmerica neEurope ari kunonoka, paine vafambi vekune dzimwe nyika vanoda kuwana 2.1 muzana uye 3.1 muzana, zvichiteerana, mumwedzi iwoyo.
"Tiri kuona indasitiri inomhanya-mbiri," akadaro Giovanni Bisignani, director general weIATA uye CEO. "Asia neLatin America vari kufambisa kupora. Misika isina kusimba yepasirese ndeyeNorth Atlantic uye intra-Europe iyo yakaramba ichibvumirana kubva pakati pa2008. "
Forecast yakanakisa inosanganisira:
Kuvandudza Kudiwa: Kudiwa kweCargo (kwakaderera ne11.1 muzana muna 2009) kunotarisirwa kukura nezvikamu gumi nezviviri kubva muzana muna 12.0. Izvi zviri nani zvikuru pane zvakafanotaurwa kare ne2010 muzana. Kudiwa kwevatasvi (kwakaderera ne7.0 muzana muna 2.9) kunotarisirwa kukura ne2009 muzana muna 5.6. Uku ndiko kuvandudzwa kwezvakafanotaurwa kare muna December zve 2010 muzana yekukura.
Zvinhu Zvinotakurwa Nendege: Ndege dzakachengeta huwandu hunoenderana nezvinodiwa mukati megore rose ra2009. Kudzoreredza kwakasimba kwekupera kwegore kwakasundidzira zvinhu zvinorema kurekodha mazinga pazvakagadziridzwa maererano nemwaka. Pakazosvika Ndira chikamu chepasi rose chekutakura vafambi chaive 75.9 muzana nepo kushandiswa kwemutoro kwaive pa49.6 muzana.
Zvibereko: Kusimba kwekupa uye kudiwa mamiriro anotarisirwa kuona goho richivandudzika - 2.0 muzana yevatyairi uye 3.1 muzana yekutakura. Uku ndiko kuvandudzwa kukuru kubva mukudonha kwakanyanya kwegumi nemana muzana kwakaitika nevese muna 14.
Kufamba Kwekutanga: Kufamba kwekutanga, nepo kuchinonoka kupora pane kufamba kwehupfumi, iko zvino kunoratidzika kunge kuri kutevera kudzoreredza kudzoreredza muhuwandu. Asi ichiri 17 muzana pazasi pekutanga kwe2008 peak. Zvibereko zvekutanga, izvo zviri 20 muzana pazasi pepamusoro, zvinogona kunge zvichitambura nekuchinja kwemaitiro.
Mafuta emafuta: Nekuvandudzika kwemamiriro ehupfumi, mutengo wemafuta uri kukwira. IATA yakakwidza mutengo wayo waitarisirwa wemafuta kusvika pamadhora makumi manomwe nepfumbamwe padhiramu kubva payakafanotaurwa madhora makumi manomwe neshanu. Uku ndiko kuwedzera kwe$79 paavhareji yemutengo we$75 wegore ra17. Iko kusanganiswa kwemutengo wemafuta ekufambisa uye nemutengo wemafuta wemafuta wepamusoro kuchawedzera mabhiriyoni gumi nemapfumbamwe emadhora kubhiri remafuta emafuta eindasitiri, zvichiunza mari inotarisirwa kuita mabhiriyoni zana nemakumi matatu nemaviri muna 62. yemitengo yekushandisa, izvi zvinomiririra 2009 muzana, kubva pa19 muzana muna 132.
Revenues: Mari inowanikwa ichakwira kusvika kumadhora mazana mashanu nemakumi maviri nemaviri emadhora. Ndiyo $522 bhiriyoni kupfuura yaimbofanotaurwa uye $44 bhiriyoni kuvandudzwa muna 43.
"Mari inowanikwa hafu yenzira yekudzoreredza - US$42 bhiriyoni pasi pepamusoro pe2008 uye $43 bhiriyoni pamusoro peiyo 2009," akadaro Bisignani. “Zvinhu zvakakosha zviri kufamba negwara chairo. Kudiwa kuri kuita nani. Indasitiri yave yakachenjera mukugadzirisa kugona. Mitengo iri kutanga kuenderana nemitengo - premium yekufamba parutivi. Tinogona kuva netariro asi nokungwarira kwakafanira. Njodzi dzakakosha dzichiripo. Oiri ibasa remusango, kuwandisa kuchiri njodzi, uye mari dzinofanirwa kuchengetedzwa muchikamu cheukoshi uye nekushanda. "
Misiyano Yenharaunda Yakapinza
Zvinoenderana neshumo yeIATA, misiyano yedunhu mune tarisiro yendege ingangove yakapinza gore rino:
>> Vatakuri veAsia-Pacific vachaona kurasikirwa kwe2.7 bhiriyoni 2009 kunosvika kumadhora mazana mapfumbamwe emamiriyoni epurofiti kumashure kwekukurumidza kudzoreredzwa kwehupfumi kuri kutungamirwa neChina. Misika yekutakura zvinhu yakanyanya kusimba, iine kutakura mitoro mirefu yekutakura kubva kuAsia iri kusangana nekushomeka kwehuwandu. Kudiwa kunotarisirwa kukura nezvikamu gumi nezviviri kubva muzana muna 900.
>> Vatakuri veLatin America vanotumira purofiti yemadhora mazana masere emamiriyoni kwegore rechipiri rakateedzana. Hupfumi hwedunhu iri hune zvikwereti zvishoma kudarika US kana Europe. Hukama hwehupfumi kuAsia hwakabatsira kuparadzanisa dunhu kubva padambudziko remari. Vatakuri munzvimbo dzedunhu vakabatsirwa kubva mumisika yakasununguka, izvo zvakagonesa kumwe kubatanidzwa kwemuganho, zvichipa kuchinjika kukuru kubata nekushanduka kwemamiriro ehupfumi. Kudiwa kunotarisirwa kukura ne800 muzana muna 12.2.
>> Vatakuri veEuropean vanotumira kurasikirwa kwemadhora mabhiriyoni maviri nemazana maviri - iyo yakakura pakati pematunhu. Izvi zvinoratidza kunonoka kwekugadzirisa hupfumi uye kuderera kwekutenda kwevatengi. Demand inotarisirwa kukura ne2.2 muzana muna 4.2. Intra-European premium travel inotarisirwa kupora zvishoma nezvishoma. Muna Zvita yakaramba iri 2010 muzana pasi pemazinga egore rapfuura.
>> Vatakuri veNorth America vanozoisa yechipiri kurasikirwa kukuru pamadhora 1.8 bhiriyoni. Kuvandudzwa kwehupfumi husina mabasa kunoramba kuchiremedza kuvimba kwevatengi. Demand inotarisirwa kuvandudzwa ne6.2 muzana muna 2010. Asi ne intra-North America premium yekufamba ichiri kudzika 13.3 muzana kubva muna Zvita, dunhu rinoramba riri mutsvuku.
>> Vatakuri veMiddle East vanotarisirwa kuona kukura kwe15.2 muzana muna 2010, asi vachaona kurasikirwa kwemamiriyoni mazana mana emadhora. Goho rakaderera mumisika-refu-refu yakabatana pamusoro peMiddle East hubs mutoro kune pundutso.
>> Vatakuri vemuAfrica vanogona kutumira kurasikirwa kwemamiriyoni zana emadhora muna 100, vachibvisa kurasikirwa kwe2010. Kudiwa kunotarisirwa kuvandudzwa ne2009 percent. Asi izvi hazvizove zvakakwana kune pundutso sezvavanoramba vachitarisana nemakwikwi akasimba emugove wemusika.
Kugadziridza Kwemaitiro
"Musiyano mukuru pakati pekuita purofiti pakati pevatakuri veAsia neLatin America nepo kurasikirwa kuchiri kutambudza mamwe indasitiri kunoratidza zvakajeka chokwadi chekuti ndege hadzina kukwanisa kusimukira kuita bhizinesi repasi rose," akadaro Bisignani. “Zvisungo zvebilateral system zvinodzivirira kubatanidzwa kwemhiri kwemuganhu kwatakaona mumaindasitiri akaita semishonga kana nharembozha. Ndege dziri kurwisana nematambudziko emari pasina kubatsirwa kwechishandiso ichi chakakosha. Yasvika nguva yekuchinja.”
Muna Mbudzi 2009, chirongwa cheIATA cheAgenda yeRusununguko chakabatsira kusainwa kwechirevo chemitemo yakasiyana-siyana chakanangana nekusunungura kuwanikwa kwemusika, mitengo uye muridzi. Hurumende nomwe (Chile, Malaysia, Panama, Singapore, Switzerland, United Arab Emirates neUnited States) uye European Commission yakasaina gwaro. Kuwait yakabatana neboka nekutsigira misimboti munaKurume.
"Chikamu chechipiri nhaurirano pakati peUS neEurope ndiwo mukana mukuru wegore ra2010," akadaro Bisignani. “Kunonoka kupora mumatunhu ese ari maviri kunofanirwa kuve kukokwa kweshanduko. Kusunungura varidzi kwaizosimudzira misika yese. Zvinotonyanya kukosha, sezvo misika iyi yakasanganiswa inomiririra nezve 60 muzana yendege yepasi rose yaizotumira chiratidzo chakasimba chekuchinja kwenyika. Brands, kwete mireza, inofanirwa kutungamira indasitiri kune pundutso inoenderera. Izvo hazvigone kuitika kudzamara hurumende dzarasa zvirambidzo zvechinyakare zvehurongwa hwenyika mbiri. "
