Sekureva kweInternational Air Transport Association (IATA), ndege dzepasi rose dzinotarisirwa kurasikirwa neUS $ 2.5 bhiriyoni muna2009.
Forecast zvakakosha ndezvi:
Mari inowanikwa mumaindasitiri inotarisirwa kudzikira kusvika US $ 501 bhiriyoni. Kudonha uku kweUS $ 35 bhiriyoni kubva paUS $ 536 bhiriyoni pamari dzakafungidzirwa gore ra2008. Kuderera uku kwemari ndekwekutanga kubvira makore maviri akateedzana ekuderera muna 2001 na2002.
Zvibereko zvichaderera ne3.0 muzana (5.3 muzana kana zvashandurwa pamitengo yekutsinhana uye inflation). Motokari dzevapfuuri dzinotarisirwa kudzikira nezvikamu zvitatu muzana zvichitevera kukura kwezvikamu zviviri muzana muna 3. Uku ndiko kuderera kwekutanga kwevanofamba nevanhu kubva pakadzikira 2 muzana muna 2008.
Cargo traffic inotarisirwa kudzikira nezvikamu zvishanu kubva muzana, zvichitevera kudonha kwechikamu chimwe nechimwe kubva muzana mugore ra5. Gore ra1.5 risati rasvika gore rakapedzisira kudzikira zvinhu izvi raive mugore ra2008 pakadonhedzwa 2008 muzana
Mutengo wemafuta wa2009 unotarisirwa kuita pakati peUS $ 60 pabharari pamutero wakazara US $ 142 bhiriyoni. Aya madhora US $ 32 mabhiriyoni akaderera pane muna 2008 apo oiri akaenzana neUS $ 100 pabharira (Brent).
North America
Iko kuderedzwa kwemakambani kurasikirwa kubva muna2008 kusvika muna2009 kunonyanya kukonzerwa neshanduko yemhedzisiro ye. Vatakuri mudunhu rino vakanyanya kurohwa nemitengo yakakwira yemafuta pamwe nekukombwa kushoma uye vanotarisirwa kuposita kurasikirwa kukuru kwemaindasitiri kwegore ra2008 paUS $ 3.9 bhiriyoni. Kwekutanga gumi muzana kudzikiswa kwemasimba epamusha mukupindura kunetsa kwemafuta kwakapa vatakuri venharaunda kutanga-musoro mukurwisa kudonha kunotungamirwa nehupfumi kudikanwa. Kushaikwa kwekuvharira iko zvino kuri kubvumidza vatakuri venharaunda kutora mukana wakazara wekukurumidza kudzikira kwemitengo yemafuta. Nekuda kweizvozvo, vatakuri vekuNorth America vanotarisirwa kuisa mari shoma yeUS $ 10 miriyoni muna300.
Asia-Pacific
Ndege dzedunhu dzichaona kurasikirwa kunopfuura zvakapetwa kaviri kubva paUS $ 500 miriyoni muna2008 kusvika paUS $ 1.1 bhiriyoni muna2009. Iine makumi mashanu neshanu muzana yemusika wepasi rose wekutakura zvinhu, vatakuri venzvimbo iyi vanozokanganiswa zvisingaenzaniswi nedonhwe rinotarisirwa kubva muzana muzana mumisika yekutakura zvinhu gore rinouya .
Uye misika yayo miviri yekukura - China neIndia - inotarisirwa kuunza shanduko huru mukuita. Kukura kweChinese kunononoka semhedzisiro yekudonhedza kunze kwenyika. Vatakuri veIndia, avo vatove kunetsekana nemitero yakakwira uye zvivakwa zvisina kukwana, vanogona kutarisira kudonha kwekudiwa zvichitevera kubva pazviitiko zvinotyisa zveNovember. MuChina, huwandu hwekufungidzira mukufamba mukati megore reOlympics reBeijing hauna kuzomboitika. Ndege-dzinomhanya nendege dzakanyora zvakasanganisa kurasikirwa kwemamiriyoni mazana mana nezviuru zvemadhora ($ 4.2 mamirioni) muna Ndira-Gumiguru. Yakaputirwa nekuwedzera mafuta mutengo kutanga kwegore, nendege dzakarasikirwa zvakare mukuwisira mafuta mushure mekudonha kwazvino kwemitengo. Zviremera zvakakurudzira vatakuri-vehurumende kuti vadzime kana kunonoka kuendesa ndege. Ndege mbiri huru - Shanghai-based China Eastern Airlines neChina Southern Airlines kuGuangzhou - vari pakati pekugamuchira 613 billion yuan ($ 3 mamirioni) jekiseni remari kubva kuhurumende. China Eastern, iyo yakambotadza kutengesa danda kune vekunze vekunze, zvino inogona kusangana neyaikwikwidzana nayo Shanghai Airlines, mubatsiri wemutakuri wemureza Air China.
Nyanzvi dzezvekufamba nendege dzinoti nendege dzedunhu dzinofanirwa kukwanisa kudzora kudzikira zviri nani pane vezera ravo vekuAmerican neEuropean nekuti vane mabhalanzi akasimba mashitsi uye nezvikwata zvemazuva ano zvakawanda. Zvakare, ndege dzinoverengeka, kusanganisira Singapore Airlines, Malaysia Airlines ndedzehurumende, zvichireva kuti vanogona kuwana rutsigiro rwehurumende kana zvichidikanwa.
Korean Airlines Co, inotakura zvinhu pasi rose, yakatumira kurasikirwa kwayo kwechina kwechina kwegore rechitatu nekuda kwekuhwina kwakapusa, izvo zvakasimudza mutengo wekutenga mafuta uye kusevha chikwereti chekunze.
Cathay ane hurongwa hwekupaka vatakuri vaviri, kupa zororo risingabhadharwe kuvashandi uye pamwe kunonoka kuvakwa panotakurwa nhumbi kudzikisa mutengo. Inozodzosera masevhisi kuNorth America asi kuwedzera ndege kuAustralia, Middle East neEurope kuchengetedza kukura kwevatakurwi zvakadzika muna2009, asi ndege yacho haidimbure chero kwavanoenda.
Singapore Airlines yakati chikamu chechitatu chekambani chakanyudza 36 muzana uye chakanyevera nezve "kushaya simba" pamberi pekunyoreswa kwa2009.
Musika mukuru wedunhu iri - Japan - watove kuderera. Bhizinesi revatakuri veJapan rakaita zvakanaka nguva pfupi yadarika sezvo kukoshesa kweyen kuchienzaniswa nedhora rekuAmerica nedzimwe mari kwakaita kuti kuenda mhiri kwemakungwa kudhure maJapani. Zvakadaro, All Nippon Airlines yakacheka fungidziro yayo yegore rakazara neyechitatu uye yakamisikidzwa hurongwa hwekuodha ndege itsva yejumbo.
Qantas Airways yeAustralia yadimbura mabasa chiuru nemazana mashanu uye zvirongwa zvekudzora kugona kune yakaenzana nekumisa ndege gumi. Iyo yakagadzirisawo izere-gore regore pretax purofiti tarisiro nechetatu.
AirAsia, nendege huru kwazvo yemudunhu, iri kutora nzira yekumanikidza nekuwedzera nendege nekuwedzera pakati pekudonha.
AirAsia inotarisira kubhururuka vafambi vanosvika mamirioni 19 gore rino uye mamirioni makumi maviri nemana muna24, akadaro - kubva pamamiriyoni gumi neshanu gore rapfuura.
AirAsia haina hurongwa hwekudzima kana kudzosera odha yayo yendege dzeAirbus 175, idzo makumi mashanu neshanu dzakapihwa nemamwe mapfumbamwe akanangwa muna55.
Europe
Kurasikirwa kwendege dzendege kunowedzera kakapetwa kagumi kusvika US $ 1 bhiriyoni. Hupfumi hukuru hweEuropean hwatova mumatambudziko. Hedging yakavharira mumitengo yakakwira yemafuta kwevakawanda vevatakuri venharaunda mumadhora eUS, uye iyo isina kusimba Euro iri kuwedzeredza kukanganisa.
Middle East
Kurasikirwa kwenzvimbo dzendege nendege zvakapetwa kaviri kusvika US $ 200 miriyoni. Dambudziko renharaunda ichave yekufananidza kugona kudiwa sezvo zvikepe zvinowedzera uye traffic inononoka - kunyanya kune refu-dhonza kubatanidza.
Latin America
Latin America ichaona kurasikirwa kaviri kusvika US $ 200 miriyoni. Chidimbu chakasimba chezvinhu chakatungamira kukura kwedunhu chakadzikiswa zvakanyanya mudambudziko razvino rehupfumi. Kudzikira muhupfumi hweUS kuri kurova dunhu zvakanyanya.
Africa
Tichaona kurasikirwa kweUS $ 300 miriyoni kuenderera. Vatakuri venharaunda vanotarisana nemakwikwi akasimba. Kudzivirira musika-mugove ndiyo ichave iri dambudziko guru.
“Makambani endege akaita basa rinoyemurika rekuzvigadziridza kubva muna 2001. Mari yemagetsi asiri emafuta yakadzikira nezvikamu gumi nezvitatu kubva muzana. Kushanda kwemafuta kwakawedzera ne13 muzana. Uye mutengo wekutengesa nekutengesa wadzika nezvikamu gumi nezvitatu kubva muzana. IATA yakaita basa rakakosha mukugadziridzwa uku. Muna 19 mushandirapamwe wedu wemafuta akabatsira vendege kuchengetedza US$13 bhiriyoni, yakaenzana nematani 2008 miriyoni eCO5. Uye basa redu nevanopa monopoly suppliers rakachengetedza mari yeUS$14.8 bhiriyoni. Asi kushata kwedambudziko rehupfumi kwadzikatidza kubudirira uku uye vendege vari kunetsekana kuenzanisa huwandu nechikamu chinotarisirwa kudonha chezvikamu zvitatu kubva muzana chekudiwa kwevanhu muna 2. Indasitiri ichiri kurwara. Uye zvinotora shanduko dzinodarika simba rendege kuti dzifambe dzichidzokera kunzvimbo ine pundutso,” akadaro Bisignani weIATA.
Bisignani akatsanangura chirongwa cheindasitiri chegore ra2009 icho chakaratidza Sangano reIstanbul Chiziviso munaJune wegore rino. “Vashandi vanofanirwa kunzwisisa kuti mabasa achazopera kana mari ikadzikira. Vashandi vemaindasitiri vanofanirwa kubatsira mukuita zvakanaka. "Uye hurumende dzinofanira kumisa mutero wekupenga, kugadzirisa zvivakwa, kupa ndege kuzvitoro zvakasununguka uye kudzora vanotengesa zvinhu vega," akadaro Bisignani.
Muongorori akati ndege dzendege dzinoenda mukubatana uye dzotsvaga rutsigiro rwehurumende kurwisa kudzikira. Kubatanidzwa kunobatsira ndege nekudzikisa mutengo sezvavanogovana zviwanikwa uye nekupa vakawanda vafambi kuburikidza nehubhu.
