Chirevo chinokurudzira anosanganisira, akazara-akavakirwa uye anoitira varombo marongero ekugadzirisa kusaenzana uye kudzikisira hurombo Mhedzisiro ye Covid-19 muSouth Africa inofungidzirwa kukanganisa humwe hupfumi hweSouthern Africa.
Chikamu chepamusoro chekugadzirira chinodiwa nekukurumidza kudzivirira uye kudzikamisa denda re COVID-19 muSouth Africa, kusanganisira zvimwe zviwanikwa zvekuyedza uye kudzikisa kukanganisa kwedzimba nehupfumi, iyo African Development Bank akadaro muSouthern Africa Regional Economic Outlook.
Mumamiriro ezvinhu akaipisisa, kukura muSouth Africa kwaizodonha kusvika -6.6% muna 2020 vasati vadzoreredza kusvika ku2.2% muna2021.
Kukura kunofungidzirwa kusvika -4.9% mune yekutanga nyaya, inonyanya kutungamirwa nekuderera kwakadzika muSouth Africa, kwakakonzerwa nekuderera kwemitengo yezvinhu, zviyero zvekuchengetedza, zviitiko zvine chekuita nemamiriro ekunze, uye nenyaya dzehurongwa zvine chekuita nezvinoshandiswa neruzhinji. Kukura kwedunhu kunofungidzirwa kuti ndiko kwakanyanya kukanganiswa neCOVID-19.
Pamberi pe COVID-19, hupfumi hweSouthern Africa hwakafungidzirwa kuti hudzokere kubva pakufungidzirwa 0.7% kukura muna 2019 kusvika 2.1% muna 2020. Sezvakaitika kare, South Africa, hupfumi hukuru hwedunhu, inofungidzirwa kuti ichapa avhareji ye60% yezvematunhu hupfumi kuburitswa muna 2020.
Kutevera kuputika kwe COVID-19, fungidziro yekukura kwehupfumi yakadzikira ne7 muzana mapoinzi kubva muchirevo chepakutanga pasi pechiitiko chekutanga, uye 8.7 muzana mapoinzi pasi pechiitiko chakaipisisa.
Mhedzisiro yeCOVID-19 muSouth Africa inofungidzirwa kunyura kune dzimwe nyika dzeSouthern Africa.
Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho neNamibia dzinoonekwa sedzinogona kutapudzwa nezviri kuitika muSouth Africa mukukura kwehupfumi, ukuwo kutengeswa kwegesi nemagetsi kweMozambique kuchikanganiswa. Uye zvakare, nyika dzinovimba nekushanya, seMauritius, dzinozokuvara zvisina kunaka.
Nekudaro, iko iko kungo tarisa kunoenderana nekupararira kwenyaya nyowani. South Africa ikozvino ndiyo nyika yechishanu yakanyanya kutambura pasirese, iine mazana anoda kusvika mazana mana emazana akasimbiswa.
Chikamu chebasa, icho chinoverengera pamusoro pe50% yeGDP yeakawanda ehupfumi hwedunhu, inofungidzirwa kuti ichakanganiswa nedenda, rakaipisisa nekurambidzwa kwekufamba, pamwe nekukanganisa kutakura, kugovera, mahotera nemaresitorendi, varaidzo, zvekutengesa nekutengesa.
Kupesana kwehupfumi, kunozivikanwa nehupfumi-hunotungamirwa nemaindasitiri, kunobatsira kusimudzira kusimba kwenzvimbo panguva yekuderera, mushumo wakataura.
Maonero akataridza hurombo uye kusaenzana sematambudziko maviri ari kukanganisa nzvimbo yeSouthern Africa uye akakumbira mitemo inokoshesa kuita kuti kukura kusanganisike, kwakatekeshera uye kuve nehurombo kana kukura kuchizogadzirisa nyaya mbiri idzi.
Inofananidzwa nedzimwe nzvimbo muAfrica, dunhu iri rine huwandu hwakanyanya hwekushaikwa kwemabasa, inoverengera 12.5% pakati pa2011 na2019, ichiteverwa neNorth Africa inosvika 11.8% panguva imwecheteyo
Kushaikwa kwemabasa kunogona kuwedzera, kunyanya munzvimbo dzakanyanya kubatwa senge kushanya uye kugamuchira vaenzi, varaidzo, zvitoro nekutengesa uye kurima, uko kunowanikwa vanhu vazhinji mudunhu iri.
Kuvandudza bhizinesi nharaunda kukwikwidza mudunhu saka kwakakosha. Iyo African Continental Yemahara Yekutengesa Nzvimbo (AfCFTA) inofungidzirwa kuti ipe mikana yepakati nepakati-refu kumisika yekusimudzira kukura kwehupfumi. Musika wepakati peAfrica unotarisirwa kudzikisira mimwe mhedzisiro yakaipa yeCOVID-19.
Chinyorwa ichi chakaratidza kupihwa, uye kuwana, dzidzo yemhando yepamusoro uye hunyanzvi sehwaro hwebudiriro, chiremerera uye kugarika kwevanhu, uye zvinoumba musana wehupfumi hwakabudirira. Kuti uwane kusiyaniswa kwehupfumi uye shanduko yemamiriro kune epamusoro-zvigadzirwa zvikamu, mushandi ane hunyanzvi uye anokwanisa kuchinjika anodikanwa, mushumo wakakurudzira.
Inoburitswa gore rega kubva 2003, African Economic Outlook (AEO) inopa humbowo hunogutsa uye analytics kuzivisa nekutsigira vanoita sarudzo vemu Africa. Kubva 2018, kuburitswa kweAEO kwakarongedzwa pamwe nekuburitswa kweRegional Economic Outlook (REO) Mishumo yeCentral, East, North, Southern neWest Africa.
“Runyorwa rwechitatu rwegore rino reSouthern Africa Regional Outlook ripoti rinopa sarudzo dzakasimba kune vanogadzira mitemo kumatunhu epasi pamwe nedunhu kutarisana nematambudziko ekusimudzira hupfumi kuburikidza nekusimudzira hunyanzvi hweramangwana revashandi munguva yapashure pe COVID-19 , ”Akadaro Josephine Ngure, Executive Director weAfrican Development Bank kuSouth Africa.
#rekuvakazve
