Kuwedzera Mhindu uye Rekodha Mari Yakarongedzerwa Yendege muna 2024

Muna 2023, purofiti yendege dzepasi rose inofungidzirwa kuve nani, ichiteverwa nenguva yekugadzikana muna 2024. Zvakadaro, purofiti yepasi rose inotarisirwa kuderera zvakanyanya pamutengo wemari mumakore ese ari maviri. Sezvineiwo, kune misiyano yakakura yedunhu mukuita kwemari.

Muna 2024, zvinofungidzirwa kuti indasitiri yendege yepasi rose ichaunza purofiti inosvika mabhiriyoni makumi maviri nemashanu emadhora, zvichikonzera purofiti ye25.7%. Uku kuwedzera kudiki kana kuchienzaniswa neiyo inofungidzirwa purofiti yemadhora 2.7 bhiriyoni (ine mambure purofiti ye23.3%) muna 2.6. Kwemakore ese ari maviri, kudzoka pamari yakasimwa ichawira kumashure kwemutengo wemari ne2023 muzana, nekuda kukwira kwemhindu pasi rose zvichikonzerwa nekukwira kwemitengo kwakakosha.

Muna 2024, purofiti yekushanda kweindasitiri yendege yepasi rose inofungidzirwa kuti ichakwira kusvika pamadhora mabhiriyoni makumi mana nemakumi mapfumbamwe nemazana matatu, kubva pamadhora 49.3 bhiriyoni muna40.7. kukura kwe2023%. Pamusoro pezvo, mari inotarisirwa kuwedzera ne2024% kusvika pamadhora mazana mapfumbamwe nemakumi mapfumbamwe nemana.

Muna 2024, huwandu hwevafambi hunofungidzirwa kuti huchasvika bhiriyoni 4.7, kupfuura pre-denda level ye4.5 bhiriyoni muna 2019. Uyezve, mavhoriyamu ekutakura anotarisirwa kusvika 58 miriyoni matani muna 2023 uye kuwedzera kusvika 61 miriyoni matani mu. 2024.

International Air Transport Association (IATA) Director General Willie Walsh inobvuma kuti indasitiri yendege yepasi rose inofungidzirwa purofiti inosvika mabhiriyoni makumi maviri nemashanu emadhora muna 25.7 chiratidzo chekusimba kwendege, kunyangwe kurasikirwa kukuru munguva pfupi yapfuura. Chishuvo chisingaperi chekufamba chakagonesa ndege kukurumidza kudzoka kune pre-denda mazinga ekubatana. Kukurumidza kwekupora uku kunoshamisa; zvisinei, zviri pachena kuti denda rakadzosera kumashure kukura kwendege nemakore anenge mana.

“Purofiti yemumaindasitiri inofanira kuiswa mumaonero akanaka. Kunyange kudzoreredza kuchinakidza, mambure emubairo we2.7% ari pazasi zvakanyanya izvo zvingagamuchirwa nevaisiri vemari mune chero imwe indasitiri. Chokwadi, ndege zhinji dziri kuita zviri nani kupfuura avhareji iyoyo, uye dzakawanda dziri kunetseka. Asi pane chimwe chinhu chinodzidzwa kubva pakuti, paavhareji ndege dzinongochengeta madhora mashanu neshanu pamutakuri wese anotakurwa. Izvo zvinenge zvakakwana kutenga yekutanga 'grande latte' kuLondon Starbucks. Asi zvakatonyanya kudiki kuvaka remangwana rakagadzikana kune zvinokatyamadza indasitiri yepasi rose iyo 5.45% yeGDP inotsamira uye kubva kune 3.5 miriyoni vanhu vanowana raramo yavo. Ndege dzinogara dzichikwikwidza zvine hukasha kune vatengi vadzo, asi dzinoramba dzakaremerwa nemutemo unorema, kupatsanurana, mitengo yakakwira yezvivakwa uye cheni yekugovera ine oligopolies, "akadaro Walsh.

Kubva pane Iată Global Aviation Sector Outlook, mari inowanikwa muna 2024 inofungidzirwa kuti ichakura nekukurumidza kupfuura mari inoshandiswa (7.6% vs. 6.9%), kuwedzera purofiti. Purofiti yekushanda yaizokwira ne21.1% ($40.7 bhiriyoni muna 2023 kusvika pamadhora mazana mana nemakumi matatu nemakumi matatu emadhora muna 49.3), ukuwo mamburenzi emubairo achawedzera nekunonoka kwegumi muzana nekuda kwekutarisirwa kwakakwira mubereko muna 2024.

Muna 2024, indasitiri inotarisirwa kuwana rekodhi-kutyora mari yemadhora mazana mapfumbamwe nemakumi mapfumbamwe nemana. Huwandu hwendege dziripo dzinotarisirwawo kuwedzera kusvika 964 miriyoni, ichipfuura mwero we40.1 we2019 miriyoni uye inofungidzirwa 38.9 miriyoni ndege dze36.8.

Muna 2024, mari dzevatakuri dzinofungidzirwa kuti dzichakwira kusvika ku717 bhiriyoni, zvichiratidza kuwedzera kwe12% kubva pamabhiriyoni mazana matanhatu nemakumi mana nemaviri emadhora akanyorwa muna 642. Kukura kwemari yevatakuri makiromita (RPKs) inofungidzirwa kuva 2023% kana ichienzaniswa negore rapfuura. Kunyangwe izvi zvichipfuura maitiro ekukura akaonekwa denda risati rasvika, 9.8 inotarisirwa kuratidzira kumira kwekuwedzera kwegore negore kwakapupurirwa panguva yekupora ya2024-2021.

Goho revatasvi vanofungidzirwa kuti richawedzera ne1.8% muna 2024 semugumisiro wekuenderera mberi kwematambudziko ekugovera uye kudiwa kwakasimba kwekufamba, kuri kudarika huwandu huripo.

Kushanda mazinga anotarisirwa kuramba akakwira muna 2024, zvichiratidza kusimba kwekupa uye mamiriro ekudiwa. Iyo inotarisirwa mutoro wegore iro i82.6%, ichipfuura zvishoma nhamba ye2023 (82%) uye ichienderana neyakaremerwa chinhu chakanyorwa muna 2019.

Maonero ane tariro anotsigirwa nedata rekuvhota reIATA kubva muna Mbudzi 2023.

Pakati pevafambi vakaongororwa, vangangosvika makumi matatu nenhatu muzana vakataura kuwedzera kwekufamba kwavo zvichienzaniswa nedenda risati raitika. Vanosvika 33% vakataura kuti mafambiro avo ave akafanana nenguva dzepre-denda. 49% chete ndivo vakataura kuti vari kufamba zvishoma. Tichitarisa mberi, zvinotarisirwa kuti 18% yevakapindura vachafamba zvakawanda mumwedzi gumi nemiviri inotevera kana ichienzaniswa nemwedzi gumi nemiviri yapfuura. Vangori 44% vanotarisira kudzikira kwekufamba, nepo 12% vachitarisira kuti mafambiro avo acharamba akafanana mumwedzi gumi nemiviri inotevera sezvavaive mumwedzi gumi nemiviri yapfuura.

Zvakadaro IATA inoyambira kuti kunyangwe nekuvandudzwa, zvinhu zvakasiyana-siyana zvinogona kuramba zvichikanganisa pundutso yeindasitiri yendege, zvichiunza njodzi.

Kusimukira kwezvehupfumi hwenyika: Mamiriro akanaka ehupfumi hwenyika anosanganisira kuderera kwemitengo, kushaya mabasa kwakanaka, uye kudiwa kwakasimba kwekufamba. Zvisinei, matambudziko ehupfumi anogona kubuda. MuChina, kusakwana kwekutonga kwekukura zvishoma nezvishoma, kushaikwa kwemabasa kwevechidiki, uye kusagadzikana mumisika yezvivakwa zvinogona kukanganisa kutenderera kwebhizinesi repasi rose. Saizvozvo, kana paine kudzikira kwekushivirira kune yakakwira mubereko uye nekuwedzera kwakanyanya mukushaikwa kwemabasa, kudiwa kwakasimba kwevatengi kwave kutyaira kudzoreredza kunogona kudzikira.

Hondo: Hondo yeUkraine nehondo yeIsrael-Hamas zvakanyanya kukonzera nzira dzakakonzerwa nekuvharwa kwemhepo. Izvi zvakonzera kukwira kwemitengo yemafuta, zvichikanganisa makambani endege pasi rose. Kana runyararo rusingatarisirwe rwaizoitika mune chero kana ese ari maviri mamiriro, iyo indasitiri yendege yaizowana mabhenefiti. Zvakadaro, kukwira chero kupi zvako kunogona kukanganisa hupfumi hwenyika, nekukwira kwendege.

Supply Chains: Kutengeserana kwepasi rose uye bhizinesi rinoramba richikanganiswa nematambudziko ekutengesa. Ndege dziri kutarisana nemigumisiro yakananga, kusanganisira matambudziko asingatarisirwi ekugadzirisa nedzimwe ndege uye injini, pamwe nekunonoka kugamuchira zvikamu zvendege uye kutakura. Idzi nyaya dzakatadzisa kugona kuwedzera huwandu uye kuvandudza zvikepe zvendege.

Regulatory Ngozi: Ndege dzinogona kusangana nemitengo yakawedzera ine chekuita nekutevedzwa kwemitemo, pamwe nemitengo yakawedzerwa ine chekuita nemirau yekodzero dzevatyairi, zvirongwa zvenharaunda zvenharaunda, uye zvikumbiro zvekuwanikwa.