Global Travel Forecast: Mitengo yehotera nemhepo zvichakwira zvakanyanya mu2019

Mitengo yekufambisa inotarisirwa kukwira zvakanyanya muna 2019, mahotera achikwira 3.7%, uye nendege 2.6%, zvichitungamirwa nekukura kwehupfumi hwenyika uye kukwira kwemitengo yemafuta, sekureva kwechishanu pagore Global Travel Forecast, yakaburitswa nhasi.

"Kunyange misika mikuru mizhinji ichiita kunge iri kufamba mugwara, njodzi dzakadzika dzichiri kuhupfumi hwenyika zvichipihwa kusimuka kwemitemo yekudzivirira, njodzi yekukonzera hondo dzekutengeserana uye kusagadzikana kweBrexit," akadaro Michael W. McCormick, mukuru weGBTA uye COO. . "Ichi chiziviso chinopa vatengi vekufamba kunzwisisa zviri nani musika wepasi rose uye vatyairi vemitengo yakakosha vanoratidza kiyi yekuvaka zvirongwa zvekufambisa zvakabudirira vachange vachiona nekuita nezvemamiriro epasirese anogara achichinja."

"Mitengo inotarisirwa kuwedzera mumisika zhinji yepasi rose kunyangwe inflation ichiri kudzikira," akadaro Kurt Ekert, Mutungamiriri uye CEO, Carlson Wagonlit Travel. "Chirevo chinoongorora zvikonzero uye chinosanganisira tarisiro yezvatinotarisira kuona mumisika yakakosha pasi rese. Inopawo kurudziro, ichipa maneja ekufambisa zvombo zvenhaurirano dziri kuuya. "

Yakaburitswa nhasi neGlobal Business Travel Association, izwi repasi rose bhizinesi rekufamba indasitiri, uye CWT, iyo yepasi rose yekufambisa manejimendi kambani, iyo 2019 fungidziro inoratidzawo mafambiro uye mafambisirwo achaumba bhizinesi rekufamba indasitiri.

"Ramangwana rekufamba kwemakambani rinogona kupfupikiswa sekukurumidza kuita munhu - nehunyanzvi hwenharembozha, AI, kudzidza muchina uye kufungidzira analytics zvese zviri kuita chikamu chavo," akadaro Ekert. "Kubudirira kwakasungirirwa kune tekinoroji, ine data-crunching yakaomesesa pamwoyo payo."

2019 air projections

Chikamu chendege chichaumbwa nekuunzwa kwendege dzehurefu-refu uye makwikwi ari kuwedzera kubva kune vatakuri vemutengo wakaderera, izvo zvisiri kungowanda chete asiwo kurwira nzira dzekufamba kwenguva refu - uye nekusundidzira kwendege kuNDC.

Mari dzendege dzinogona kunge dzichinyanya kudhura nekuda kwekukwira kwemitengo yemafuta, kukwikwidzana kubva mukushomeka kwevatyairi vendege, hondo dzekutengeserana dzinogona kuitika, uye kuwedzera kwechikamu chemari yekuvandudza goho.

• Asia Pacific inotarisira kuona kukwira kwe3.2% mumutengo we2019. Kudiwa kweChinese kunoramba kwakakwira uye panosvika 2020 nyika inotarisirwa kuve musika mukuru wepasirese wekufamba nendege. Muna 2019 ndege dzenyika dzinoonekwa dzichikwira 3.9%. Asi China haizove yoga. Nyika zhinji dziri mudunhu dzichaona mitengo ichikwira, kunyanya mumisika yakaita seNew Zealand (7.5%) neIndia (7.3%). Yekupedzisira inotarisirwa kuve musika mukuru wendege panosvika 2025, nenhandare dzendege dzinoshanda kupfuura huwandu. Iyo chete inosarudzika munharaunda iyi iri kusimukira iJapan. Mitengo ipapo ingangodonha 3.9% nekuda kwekuwedzera kwenyika mukugadzirira Mitambo yeOlympic muna 2020.

• MuEurope yose, Middle East & Africa, kufamba nendege kunotarisirwa kuramba kuchikura muWestern Europe, nemitengo inokwira 4.8%. Kuwedzera kuchanyanya kutaurwa muNorway (11.5%), ichiteverwa neGermany (7.3%), France (6.9%) neSpain (6.7%). Eastern Europe uye Middle East & Africa nyika, kune rumwe rutivi, ichaona kudzikira kwe2.3% uye 2% zvakateerana.

• Mitengo muLatin America yose inotarisirwa kudonha 2% muna 2019. Zvisinei, México neColombia dzichaona kuwedzera kuduku -0.1% uye 1.2% maererano- apo Chile ichawana kukwira kwe7.5%.

• North America ichaona mitengo ichikwira neine mwero 1.8%, maererano nekufungidzira kwedu. MuUS, ndege dzendege dziri kudzokorodza kuratidza nzvimbo dziri nani dzekudiwa, zvichienderana nekuti hukama hwekutengeserana hunochinja sei nevakakosha veUS vanobatana uye vadzivisi. Musika wendege weUS unotarisirwa kuona kudzvanywa kwehuwandu nekuda kwekuwedzera kuparadzaniswa kwemari, nehupfumi hwekutanga uye hupfumi hwekutanga huchidzikisa zvigaro zviripo, sevatakuri vakananga kukwidziridzwa kwemahombekombe.

2019 kufungidzira kwehotera

Maonero ehotera muna 2019 anofambiswa nekuwedzera kwese kwekufamba kwendege, izvo zvinozoita kudiwa kwemafuta emakamuri. Tekinoroji ichaitawo chikamu chakakosha. Mahotera ari kuunza zvigadziriso zvitsva kuti agadzirise ruzivo rwevaenzi. Kuwedzera kwekupinda kwenharembozha, kune rumwe rutivi, kuri kumanikidza mamaneja ekufambisa kuti vape vafambi maapplication avo, ayo anoshandawo kuti agadzirise kuzvitonga kwemitemo.

Kumwe kubatanidzwa - uye mahotera epamusoro anokwikwidzana neaya epakati nekuda kwechikamu chekuwedzera kwechishuwo chekugara kweboutique pakati pevafambi vechidiki - zvichave zvakare pachirongwa.

• MuAsia Pacific, mitengo yehotera inogona kukwira 5.1% -ine mutsauko mukuru sezvo mitengo yeJapan inotarisirwa kuwira 3.2%, asi New Zealand inofanirwa kukwira 11.8%. MuAustralia, 2019 na2020 vanotarisirwa kuunza huwandu hukuru hwemakamuri matsva ari kuwanikwa, nekuwedzera kwe3.4% yehuwandu hwekuwanikwa gore rega rega. KuIndonesia, Swiss-Belhotel International iri kutanga kuwedzera bhajeti rayo, Zest Hotels, ine hurongwa hwekupeta katatu zvivakwa zvayo mukati memakore matatu. Singapore iri kugamuchira tekinoroji uye mahotera akangwara ari kuwedzera. MuThailand, tariro iri kuwedzera zvakanyanya mushure menguva yemhirizhonga yezvematongerwo enyika.

• Kuenzanisa mitengo yemhepo, mitengo yemahotera muEurope yose, Middle East & Africa inotarisirwa kukwira muWestern Europe ne5.6%, ichiderera ne1.9% muEastern Europe uye 1.5% kuMiddle East & Africa. Zvakare Norway ichatungamira nekukwira kwe11.8%, ichiteverwa neSpain (8.5%) -inotarisirwa kutsiva US senzvimbo yechipiri inonyanya kufarirwa pasi rose, Finland (7.1%) neFrance neGermany (6.8%).

• Mukati meLatin America, mitengo yemahotera inotarisirwa kudzika 1.3%, nekudzikira muArgentina (pasi ne3.5%), Venezuela (pasi ne3.4%), Brazil (pasi 1.9%) neColombia (pasi ne0.7%). Zvisinei, Chile, Peru neMexico zvinotarisirwa kuona 6.4%, 2.1%, uye 0.6% inowedzera, maererano.

• KuNorth America mitengo yemahotera ichakwira 2.1% - 5% muCanada uye 2.7% muUS.

2019 pasi yekufambisa fungidziro

Gore rinouya, mitengo yekufambisa yepasi inotarisirwa kukwira chete 0.6% kuNorth America, nepo mitengo mune mamwe matunhu ichiramba yakatsiga. Zvisinei, pachikamu chechina cha2019, tichaona kushanda pamwe chete nemakambani ekurenda kukwidza mitengo. MuNorth America, iyo inofungidzirwa kuwedzera kwemakambani i6%.

2019 ichaonawo kuwedzera kuri kuita pakati pevafambi vekufambisa-kukwidza maapplication uku kufarira muzvitima zvinomhanya-mhanya kuri kupera, nekuda kwekudhura kwenetiweki uye yakaderera-tech yekugovera masisitimu.

Mobile kufamba kuchasimuka. Pa-inodiwa, yakagovaniswa, yemagetsi, uye yakabatana mota dzese dzichawedzera kufarirwa. Yakabatana mota tekinoroji ine mukana wekuchinja iyo yese indasitiri yemotokari.

• MuAsia Pacific mitengo icharamba yakatambarara nekuwedzera mumisika yakaita seNew Zealand (4Oleg,%), India (2.7%) neAustralia (2.4%). KuChina, hofori Didi Chuxing arikubhejera hombe pakutyaira akazvimirira. Gore rino, Uber yakatengesa bhizinesi rayo rekuSoutheast Asia kuSingapore-based Grab uye Indonesian Go-Jek iri kuwedzera kuVietnam, Thailand, Philippines neSingapore.

• Mitengo muEurope, Middle East & Africa inotarisirwa kuramba yakati sandara zvachose. Nekudaro, nyika dzakaita seFinland, France, Germany, Italy neSpain dzichaona kuwedzera kweanopfuura 4%, nepo Denmark neUK mitengo ichakura 3% uye 2% zvichiteerana. Norway ichave iri pachinzvimbo chepamusoro nekuwedzera kwe10%. Pakuderera, mitengo ichadonha zvakanyanya muSweden (13.9% pasi) uye zvishoma muBelgium (0.9% pasi).

• Mitengo muLatin America icharamba yakadzikama zvachose, nekuderera kwakasimba muArgentina (9.7% pasi) neBrazil (5.4% pasi) uye imwe ine mwero muMexico (0.3%). Mitengo yeChile ichakwira ne3.1%.

• MuNorth America, Canada inotarisirwa kuona kuwedzera kwe3.6% muna 2019, asi nzvimbo yose ichange ichikwira 0.6%. MuUS, iyo Audi-ine, app-yakavakirwa mota yekurojesa sevhisi, Silvercar, inoenderera mberi nekuwedzera kwayo zvine hukasha. Iyo kambani inopa nhare-yekutanga kuroja mota pasina mitsara uye mapepa.