izvi gung-ho vafambi dzaive dzekutidzosera kumashure kune pre-denda golden age mazinga ekubooker. Kukushamiswa kwevasina tariro mumaindasitiri, tarisiro idzodzo dzakava dzechokwadi.
Zvinoenderana neiyo Travel Market Trends chirevo na ANIXE, Nhamba dzekubhucha dzaGunyana dzinoratidza kuti tadzoka, uye mune mamwe misika, takatopfuura 2019's high watermark. Asi, tisati tatarisa pane data, ngationei zviri kuitika muindastiri zvakazara, uye kana zvazvinoreva zvinoenderana nedanho iri retarisiro.
Zviratidzo zvekudzoka kune zvakajairwa zvinogona kuoneka kwese kwese indasitiri yekufambisa. Semuenzaniso, ndege dzepasirese dzinoronga kuwedzera huwandu hwekuzadzisa kudiwa kwazvino.
PaAlTA Leaders Forum muBuenos Aires, maCEO emakambani makuru endege eLatin America vakapenda maonero akanaka. Roberto Alvo, CEO weLatam Airlines Group - hombe mudunhu, akati, "Tiri panguva yekudzoreredza indasitiri," uye CEO weAvianca Adrian Neuhauser akawedzera, "Tiri kushanda kuwedzera huwandu nekuti musika unodiwa zvakanyanya mazuvano."
Humwe huwandu kubva kuSouth America, hunopa humbowo hwekuti indasitiri yekufambisa haina kungopora chete, asi yatanga kukura. Nhamba dzevatasvi muMexico neColumbia dzakatopfuura nhamba dzepre-denda, nehuwandu hwekuwedzera kwevapfuuri ne14% ne9%, zvichiteerana. Zvirinani mune mamwe matunhu epasi, zvinoita sekunge COVID ikozvino ndangariro dziri kure.
Haisi muLatin America chete umo vakuru vendege vanoonekwa vaine nyemwerero huru pazviso zvavo. Mutungamiri weEmirates Tim Clark anotsanangura ndege se "dzakazara" kusvika Kurume uye kuti anoona "gomba rekugona" iro, nekuda kwenyaya dzevashandi uye kugadzirisa, kambani haigone kuzadza munguva pfupi. Zvakangodaro, Emirates inotarisira kuve nengarava dzayo dzakazara kumusoro uye kubhururuka nezhizha rinotevera.
Manzwiro emutungamiri weEmirates anotsinhirwawo nevakuru vakuru veLufthansa, Air France-KLM, Delta Airlines, neAmerican Airlines, vari munhangemutange yekuwedzera mukana wekuzadzisa zvinodiwa nevanoda kushanya.
Kusakwanisa-kugona kungave nhau dzakanaka kune vafambi vakati sezvo zvichireva kuti mitengo yakakwira haisi mhedzisiro yedambudziko repasi rose rekudhura-kwekugara asiwo nekuda kwekusakwanisa kwendege. Nekudaro, nendege dziri kuronga kuti dzizere ngarava dzadzo dzidzoke mumhepo nekukasira, zvinokwanisika kudzikiswa kwemitengo kuchaitika muchikamu chechipiri cha2023 sezvo kuwanikwa kunowedzera kudiwa. Nhau dzakanaka kune avo vari kuronga zhizha ra2023 getaway.
Kufamba nendege kunofungidzirwa kuti kuchadzoka zvakanyanya panosvika 2024
Kumwe kunhu muindasitiri, zvinhu zviri kutarisa kumusoro, zvakare. NeChipiri, Airbnb yakanyora mari yainowana uye purofiti yepamusoro-soro muchikamu che3 chegore ra2022. Kuwedzera kwekudiwa kwakawedzera mari yekambani ne46% zvichienzaniswa nenhamba dzegore rapfuura dzekota imwe cheteyo.
Zvakare, iyo 2022 US Family Travel Survey, yakaburitswa neChitatu chapfuura, inoratidza kuti chikamu chikuru makumi masere neshanu muzana chevabereki vekuAmerica vanoronga kufamba nevana vavo mumwedzi gumi nemiviri inotevera.
Saka, kunyangwe inflation yakakwira pasina mubvunzo ichiramba ichikanganisa kudiwa kwekufamba, mumwe anogona kutaura kuti nekuda kwekuvharika uye zvirambidzo, zvigadzirwa zvekufamba zviri kuita hupfumi quasi-inelastic, uko kudiwa kunoramba kwakafanana kunyangwe mitengo ichikwira.
Nhau dzakanaka dzevatambi veindasitiri yekufambisa
Ehe, nhau dzakanaka dzinongoramba dzichipinda mukati. Dhata inoratidza kuti kupora uku hakusi kungozvimiririra kune dzimwe nzvimbo dzeindasitiri asi chimwe chinhu chiri kuwonekwa mubhodhi rose. Saka, pasina imwezve ado, ngatitarisei mune data rakaunganidzwa kubva kuResfinity Booking injini kuti tione kana zviri kuitika mune dzimwe nzvimbo dzeindasitiri zvinoratidzwa nehuchokwadi hwenhamba idzi.
Rombo rakanaka uye maitiro emwedzi ichangopfuura, kuenderera kunyange kunze kwemwaka wezororo, zvinoratidza kuti vafambi havachanei nedenda. Pane kudaro, vari kufamba sepakutanga, uye kushanduka kwekuda kunoenderana nekuchinja kwakafanana kwepamwedzi sekutanga kwedenda.
Mwedzi ichangopfuura inokodzera iyi thesis zvakakwana. Gumiguru 2022 yakagadzira kudonha kunoda kusvika 12% mukubhukidza kune mukupera kwaGunyana. Nekudaro, vhoriyamu yavo yaimiririra 97.5% yaGumiguru 2019 mazinga pasi rose uye yakakwira se106% mumusika weGerman. Inhau dzakanaka asi zvakatishamisa zvakapihwa dambudziko resimba razvino uye hondo irikuenderera mberi muUkraine.
Muna Gumiguru 2022, vafambi vekuGerman vainyanya kuenda kunzvimbo dzekumba - Turkey, US, neSpain. Kunyangwe ichiri padanho repamusoro, chikamu chekupedzisira chekuchengetedza chinowedzera kudzikira kwakakosha pamwedzi uye pagore. Kudzikira kukuru kwakanyorwawo mune dzimwe nzvimbo dzezororo dzakadai seItaly neGreece. Kusiyana neizvi, kuwedzera kukuru kwakanyorwa nekudiwa kwenzendo dzekuEgypt, iyo yatove yakawandisa munzvimbo huru dzekutandarira kusvika kupera kwaMbudzi.
Zvakare muna Gumiguru 2022 - kekutanga mumwedzi yakawanda - nzvimbo dzekutandarira dzeSpanish dzakapa nzira kuAntalya, ichicherekedza kudonha kwekubhuka kwepedyo ne40% asi ichisara yechipiri inonyanya kufarirwa nzvimbo yemwedzi. Hurghada muEgypt yaivewo yakakurumbira zvikuru, sezvakaita nzvimbo dzinoverengeka dzekuGermany, kusanganisira Berlin, Frankfurt, Hamburg, Munich, neCologne.
Nzvimbo dzinonyanya kufarirwa muna Gumiguru 2022 dzaive Hurghada, Berlin, Prague, uye 2 dzakakurumbira nzvimbo dzekutandarira dzeTurkey - Side neIstanbul. Pamwedzi wega wega, Hurghada nePrague kunyanya, vakanakidzwa nekuwedzera kwe40% mukuzivikanwa. KuPrague, kukura uku kunokatyamadza kana zvichienzaniswa nenguva isati yatanga denda - kuwedzera kwayo muchikamu chekuchengetedza kunosvika makumi matatu nemaviri%.
Denda risati rasvika, Berlin neHurghada vaivewo vakakurumbira pakati pevashanyi veGerman panguva imwe cheteyo. Roma yaivewo mu5 yepamusoro panguva iyoyo, kunyangwe mukurumbira wayo wadzikira neinopfuura 16% mumwedzi wapfuura.
Muna Gumiguru 2022 - kungofanana nemakore matatu apfuura - kufarira kwekutanga kubhurocha kunopihwa (mazuva makumi matatu neshanu kana kupfuura) kwakadzora, kuchikwira nekusvika makumi mana neshanu muzana kubva mwedzi wapfuura. Izvi zvinogona kunge zvakabatana zvakanyanya nekubooker kweGore Idzva uye nzvimbo dzekutandarira dzinodiwa nevashanyi vekuGerman.
Maitiro azvino
Zviripachena kuti kusava nechokwadi kwenguva dzazvino kwadzokera kumashure uye kuti kufarira mune izvi zvinopihwa kuri kukura nekukurumidza. Nekudaro, chiitiko chedenda chenguva pfupi yapfuura chinoratidza kuti matsutso nechando zvinongobatsira kuronga kufamba kana zvinopihwa zvichisanganisira mukana wekudzima mahara.
Mumwe mwedzi mumutsara unosimbisa maitiro anoratidza chimiro uye saizi yeboka reavhareji mufambi-mapoka evanhu 2 uye singles anotonga. Zvakadaro mugove webhuku rimwe chete muna Gumiguru 2022 wakadzikira ne 9% pane muna Gumiguru 2019. Chokwadi, mukurumbira usingadzivisiki webasa rekure kure uye kuderedzwa kwekufamba kwebhizinesi kwakaita basa.
Iyo data inoratidza kuti chikamu chikuru chevanhu 1-2 nzendo dzinoenderana nekuzivikanwa kukuru kwemakamuri ane kudya kwemangwanani uye makamuri asina chikafu. Nekudaro, iyo yekupedzisira muzana, kunyangwe ichikwira negumi muzana pamwedzi, inoramba iri 10% yakaderera pane panguva imwechete denda risati rasvika.
Nezvemitengo, mushure memwaka wezororo, kana kudiwa uye mitengo yemasevhisi ehotera yakakwira, kuderera kudiki kwepakati kunoonekwa, kunyanya mumusika weGerman, kunosvika kunosvika 6% pamunhu. Zvakangodaro, zvichienzaniswa nenguva yepre-denda, avhareji mitengo yakakwira zvakanyanya kusvika gumi neshanu muzana pamunhu kana 15% husiku. Pasi rose, kusiyana uku kwakatonyanya kukosha, uye mutsauko wakapetwa kaviri wemusika weGerman.
Kune rimwe divi, izvi zvinokonzerwa nechishuwo chechikamu chehotera chekugadzirisa kurasikirwa kwepashure-denda. Zvakadaro, kune rimwe divi, inflation inokambaira iri kuremedza hupfumi hweEurope uye ichikanganisa zvakanyanya shanduko yemitengo.
Nguva yezororo yakaunza kupora kwaitarisirwa kumusika wekushanya. Maitiro akanaka anga aripo kwemwedzi yakawanda, achipindura shanduko yekuda senge denda risati raitika. Zvinogona kutaurwa kuti vanhu vakadzidza kufamba kunyangwe zvese, izvo kubva pakuona kwemakambani ekufambisa, inhau dzakanakisa.
Nehurombo, kukwira kwemitengo yepasirese kwakawedzerwa nehondo muUkraine uye matambudziko echikafu nesimba anogona kuwedzera kukanganisa uyu mufananidzo wemusika wekushanya. Zvakare kumberi inguva yematsutso-yechando - kureva, kuwedzera kwezvirwere.
Zvakawanda sei zvinhu izvi zvicharatidzwa mumusika wekushanya masimba mumwedzi iri kuuya? Denda iri richatadzisa vanhu kuenda kune dzimwe nzvimbo dzekuchinja zvekare here? Ndedzipi nzvimbo dzicharatidza kuve dzakarova dzinoramba kudzikira? Nguva ichataura.
ZVOKUBVA MUNYAYA INO:
- But, before we take a look at the data, let's see what's happening in the industry as a whole, and whether the implications match this level of optimism.
- Under-capacity could be good news for said travelers as it means that high prices are not only a consequence of the global cost-of-living crisis but also due to the under-capacity of airlines.
- However, with airlines planning to have their full fleets back in the air as soon as possible, it is likely price reductions will happen going into the second quarter of 2023 as supply catches up with demand.
